Goal: We want to determine the fair value of a European call option on a non-dividend-paying stock by constructing a continuous hedging portfolio which prevents any arbitrage and, as a consequence, is risk-free.
Â
Step 1: Â We construct a hedging portfolio
Â
- P = V(S, t) - ΔS  (equation 1)
Â
where V is the value of our call option depending on the price of the underlying stock S and time t.
Â
Step 2: Â We consider the instantaneous change in our hedging portfolio value so that we can evaluate the option price from the volatility of the underlying stock at any time (continuous hedging)
- dP = dV - ΔdS  (equation 2)
Step 3: We define the instantaneous change in the price of the underlying stock
- dS = μS dt + σS dW  (equation 3)
- Drift term: μS dt, deterministic term. The drift term is the expected rate of return of the stock.
- Stochastic / diffusion term: σS dW. The diffusion term captures the random (stochastic) movements in the stock price, and W is the Brownian motion (Wiener process).
- μ and σ are, respectively, the rate of return and the volatility.
- dW captures the random and unpredictable component of price movements.
Step 4: We use Itô's lemma to find the differential of a function of a stochastic process. Itô's lemma is the stochastic analogue of the chain rule in standard differentiation
Â
dV = (∂V/∂t) dt + (∂V/∂S) dS + (1/2) (∂²V/∂S²) (dS)²  (equation 4)
Â
 ∂V/∂t is called "theta"
 ∂V/∂S is called "delta"
 (1/2) (∂²V/∂S²) is called "gamma"
Â
Step 5: We square the (dS) term from equation (3) and get:
Â
(dS)² = (μS dt + σS dW)²
       = μ²S² (dt)² + 2μσS² (dt dW) + σ²S² (dW)²
Â
Note on Multiplication Rules:
Â
 (dt)² = 0
 (dt dW) = 0
 (dW dW) = dt
Â
Therefore:
Â
(dS)² = 0 + 0 + σ²S² dt = σ²S² dt   (equation 5)
Â
Step 6: We substitute the (dS)² term in equation (4) with the (dS)² term from equation (5):
Â
dV = (∂V/∂t) dt + (∂V/∂S) dS + (1/2) σ²S² (∂²V/∂S²) dt
Â
or simplifying:
Â
dV = (∂V/∂t) dt + (∂V/∂S) dS + (1/2) σ²S² (∂²V/∂S²) dt   (equation 6)
Â
Step 7: We substitute the dV term in equation (2) with the dV term from equation (6)
Â
dP = dV  Δ dS
   = [(∂V/∂t) dt + (∂V/∂S) dS + (1/2) σ²S² (∂²V/∂S²) dt]  Δ dS
   = [(∂V/∂t) + (1/2) σ²S² (∂²V/∂S²)] dt + [(∂V/∂S)  Δ] dS
Â
We set Δ = dV/dS so that (dV/dS - Δ)dS = 0 and we finally obtain:Â
Â
dΠ= (dV/dt + 1/2 * σ^2 * S^2 * d²V/dS²) dt (equation 7)
Â
=> Now our continuous hedging portfolio only depends on a deterministic term and is thus insulated from the price change of the underlying stock.
Â
Step 8: Since our hedging portfolio is risk-free (equation 1), we can posit:
Â
dÎ = r Î dt with r = risk-free rate
Â
and we substitute the Î term from equation (1) in equation (8):
Â
dΠ= r (V - ΔS) dt
Â
=> dÎ = r (V - (dV/dS) S) dt (from step 7)
Â
=> dV/dt + 1/2 * σ^2 * S^2 * d²V/dS² = r V - r S dV/dS
Â
=> dV/dt + r S dV/dS + 1/2 * σ^2 * S^2 * d²V/dS² - r V = 0 (BS PDE)
Â
The Black-Scholes partial differential equation is derived:Â
Â
dV/dt + r S dV/dS + 1/2 * σ^2 * S^2 * d²V/dS² - r V = 0
Écrire commentaire